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Trump’s ACA sabotage May actually make your health care cheaper – 3 weeks left to enroll!

We’re officially halfway through the Affordable Care Act’s 2017 open enrollment period. If this news comes as a surprise to you, you should know—that was the point.(opens in new tab)

In August, the Trump administration announced plans to shorten this year’s enrollment period from 3 months to 6 weeks and slash its outreach and advertising budget by 90 percent. This is an effort to engineer failure within the federal- and state-run marketplaces established through Obama’s landmark health law. Policy experts and elected officials across the country have denounced these moves as an unabashed effort to undermine the ACA’s success.

Despite Trump’s attempts at sabotage, the ACA has experienced its best enrollment period on record(opens in new tab) so far. Consumer advocates, public health departments(opens in new tab), faith-based groups and more have used the federal government’s inaction to fuel coordinated, grassroots efforts to inform folks of their options and assist them in finding health insurance.

Also making national news is the fact that a record number of health insurance marketplaces are offering low-cost insurance plans, with premiums ranging from $0 to $75. Analysis from the Kaiser Family Foundation(opens in new tab) as well as the Center for American Progress(opens in new tab) confirm that low- to middle-income consumers now have a better chance than ever to find a truly low cost insurance plan.

This is largely the result of a separate, backfired attempt to damage the Affordable Care Act. In early October, the Trump administration ended payments for cost sharing reductions (CSRs), a type of subsidy designed to help individuals and families with income up to 250 percent of the federal poverty level manage out-of-pocket costs.

Until they were discontinued, CSRs worked like this: insurance carriers would offer a family or individual a discounted level of cost sharing on their insurance plan up front with the understanding that the federal government would pay that insurance carrier the difference. By abruptly cancelling CSR payments, consumer prices would rise drastically and insurance carriers would be thrown into a panic, creating widespread instability in the health insurance market.

Though premiums prices did rise(opens in new tab) for some consumers, a more surprising change took place — premium tax credits, a second kind of subsidy that helps low- and middle-income families afford their monthly premium, increased too. This is because the size of the premium tax credit is pegged to the cost of the second-lowest-cost silver plan (called a “benchmark plan”) in a marketplace. When insurance carriers increased the cost of their benchmark plans in response to CSR repeal, the size of the premium tax credit went up too.

Because of this increase in premium tax credits, the Center for American Progress finds that a 27-year-old single adult making $25,000 can purchase a plan with monthly premiums costing less than $20 in over half of U.S. counties. Prices are similarly low in some Washington State counties; that same 27-year-old could purchase a plan in Grays Harbor County for $38 or King County for $80, though a plan in Spokane County would cost at least $119.

Such variation in price may seem arbitrary, but the federal government determines each individuals’ premium tax credit eligibility with an algorithm that looks at five key factors, the first of which is household income. The algorithm also takes into account age, geography, household size, and smoking status, though the methodology behind how each factor is weighed(opens in new tab) is more complicated.

In summary, folks can expect to see two main trends for the remainder of the ACA enrollment period.

In either case, it’s a good idea to get on Healthplanfinder(opens in new tab) before December 15 to cost compare and find your most affordable option — and don’t forget to factor in the deductible, which includes the majority of your out-of-pocket costs.

People who don’t qualify for federal subsidies may benefit additionally from checking with an insurance broker like Stride Health(opens in new tab) to see if they can find a cheaper plan outside of the exchange.

Here are some resources for assistance in navigating the maze that is our health insurance system. Happy searching!

WithinReach(opens in new tab) Family Health Hotline: 1-800-322-2588

WashingTeen(opens in new tab) Help Hotline: 1-800-322-2588

Washington State Navigator Search(opens in new tab)

King County Health Insurance Enrollment Location(opens in new tab)

Community Health Plan of Washington Enrollment Support(opens in new tab)

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